In this issue:

European Source: Iraq May Be Biggest Military Blunder Ever

British Queen Promotes New 'Entente Cordiale'

Powell Admission Provokes Reaction in U.K.

Vanity Fair Revelations 'Damning for Blair'

Spain Sticks to Troop Withdrawal

From Volume 3, Issue Number 15 of Electronic Intelligence Weekly, Published Apr. 13, 2004

Western European News Digest

European Source: Iraq May Be Biggest Military Blunder Ever

"This may be the greatest military blunder in history," commented a senior European expert on military affairs and military history, on the American-British invasion and occupation of Iraq. Speaking to EIR, he said, "First of all, I never thought they would be so stupid as to invade Iraq. Then, once I saw the wheels turning for an invasion, I warned it would be like the French in Vietnam, at Dien Bien Phu, in 1954. What is now unfolding, is worse than Dien Bien Phu."

He said that if something drastic is not done to change the trajectory of Anglo-American policy toward Iraq, "what we will likely see is three Afghanistans, with Iraq splitting up into Kurdish, Sunni, and Shi'ite parts. This will turn the whole region into a boiling cauldron."

The source has no doubt that U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney and his neo-con friends are the architects of the entire policy in and around Iraq. "They acted out of a combination of incompetence and lying, when they insisted that American forces would be greeted as liberators, when Iraq was invaded. Yes, it was a lie, but one they believed." He said the neo-cons were now in a desperate mood, because if there is regime change in Washington, "several of them will go to jail."

As desperate as they are, he thinks the neo-cons' options for more escalations in the world strategic situation, beyond Iraq, are unlikely, both because this is an election year when the Bush White House has promised to get out of Iraq, and because so much energy and manpower are being absorbed by the Iraqi mess. The one thing that could change all this, would be "mega-terrorism," which could inject new energy into the neo-cons' activities.

The source does not see Israel's Sharon "bailing out the neo-cons," by launching some military adventure in the region, beyond what he is absorbed in doing in the occupied territories, because he doesn't have support for hitting Iran or Syria. However, here too, "an act of mega-terrorism, where 500 Israelis are killed, would change everything."

British Queen Promotes New 'Entente Cordiale'

"Vive L'Entente Cordiale" ("Long live the Entente Cordiale!"), exclaimed Britain's Queen Elizabeth II, in a banquet speech delivered in Paris April 5, on the occasion of a state visit with Royal Consort Prince Philip to France, to celebrate the 100th anniversary of the April 8, 1904 signing of the Entente Cordiale alliance between Britain and France. The Queen spoke with pride of King Edward VII, "my great-grandfather," in bringing about this Entente.

As EIR has reported, King Edward VII, the arch-geopolitical manipulator, conceived the Entente Cordiale not only as an Anglo-French alliance against Germany, but as one key moment, in a process of "divide and rule" throughout Europe, to impede any possibility of a community of principle among the nations of Eurasia. Through these manipulations, Edward VII brought about World War I, in which some 1 million Britons and 1.5 million Frenchmen died, in addition to millions more victims of the mass slaughter—German and Austrian, Russian, and others.

The state visit is designed to repair Anglo-French relations, badly damaged by the Iraq war and by nasty attacks on French President Jacques Chirac by Britain's Prime Minister Tony Blair in past months. Her Majesty exclaimed yesterday: "We cannot allow the political tensions of the moment, no matter what resentments they raise on either side, to divide us in the long term." She said that Britain and France are "natural 21st-century partners," and that the current commemoration of the Entente could "contribute to a new era in Franco-British partnership."

A "new Entente" is not likely to go very far. French Defense Minister Alliot-Marie, on the occasion, said the Entente Cordiale belongs to another historical era, and that France's leading foreign partner today is Germany.

Meanwhile, Russian state television April 5 broadcast a feature story on the anniversary. After showing Elizabeth II arriving in Paris, the story shifted to newsreel clips from the lead-up to World War I. The narrator said that no other event in the first years of the 20th century did so much to set the course of history for 100 years, nor was so disastrous for Russia. Recalling that Russia was brought into the alliance with France and England in 1907, after the British had first teamed up with Japan to smash Russia in the Russo-Japanese War, the piece concluded with shots of brutal World War I trench warfare in snow and mud.

Powell Admission Provokes Reaction in U.K.

Top officials in the British Labour Party, the smaller Liberal Democrats, and Australia's Labor Party have seized on the admission by U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell that his February 2003 address to the UN Security Council, purporting to prove that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, was not based on "solid" intelligence.

The strongest statement came form Menzies Campbell, foreign affairs spokesman of the Liberal Democrats, who said, "The cat is out of the bag. The certainty with which Colin Powell lectured the Security Council ... was overwhelming. Now we have every reason to believe that the information upon which he was relying does not stand up."

Labour Party MP Doug Henderson has demanded an explanation to Parliament. Australian Labour Party Foreign Affairs spokesman, Kevin Rudd, again accused Prime Minister John Howard of misleading the Australians about the need for war. Howard is to go before a Parliamentary committee, but has said he would not disclose classified information.

Vanity Fair Revelations 'Damning for Blair'

According to an article in the May Vanity Fair, excerpted in the London Observer of April 4, President George W. Bush asked British Prime Minister Tony Blair on Sept. 20, 2001 to help overthrow Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein. Quoted in the article is former British Ambassador to the U.S. Sir Christopher Meyer, who attended a dinner with Bush and Blair in Washington, nine days after 9/11. He reported that when Bush asked Blair to support the removal of Saddam from power, Blair responded that the U.S. should not be distracted from al-Qaeda and Afghanistan. Bush replied: "I agree with you, Tony. We must deal with this first. But when we have dealt with Afghanistan, we must come back to Iraq." Meyer says that Blair "said nothing to demur."

The Observer points out that, besides further confirmation of the Richard Clarke charges that the Administration was fixated on Iraq, the revelations will be damning for Blair, who repeatedly claimed that the decision was not made to invade Iraq until all alternatives had failed.

The Vanity Fair article also carries excerpts from the diaries of former British International Development Secretary Clare Short, who said that Blair rejected her calls for a Cabinet debate on Iraq in July 2002, even while he was sending memos to Bush outlining his conditions for joining in a war. The article quotes a senior official from Vice President Dick Cheney's office, who had read a transcript of a Bush/Blair telephone call from that week: "The way it read was, come what may, Saddam was going to go; they said they were going forward, they were going to take out the regime, and they were doing the right thing."

The article confirms, however, that Blair insisted on Bush's going to the UN (against Cheney's advice), for fear that otherwise, Blair would be dumped by his own party. An adviser to French President Jacques Chirac is reported to have told Bush to proceed to war based on UN Resolution 1441, rather than going to the UN again, or face a breach between the two nations, but Blair forced the issue of an appeal to the UN.

Spain Sticks to Troop Withdrawal

Spanish Defense Minister-designate Jose Bono met on April 5 with U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld at the Pentagon, to transmit the message that the new government of Spain will be a loyal ally of the United States, despite its disagreement with the U.S. on Iraq, and its decision to pull Spanish troops out of Iraq.

Bono explained to Rumsfeld that the Spanish government feels obliged to fulfill the promise it gave to voters, announcing that the government wants to withdraw its 1,300 troops from Iraq, if the UN has not taken over control in Iraq by June 30. Bono underlined that this policy would not mean a weakening of the government's intent to fight against terrorism, pointing out that the new government will double the Spanish contingent in Afghanistan by August.

Meanwhile, incoming Foreign Minister Angel Moratinos warned that "Spain will not accept changes that are purely cosmetic." El Pais reported April 7 that the question of the withdrawal of troops from Iraq is becoming more delicate by the day, given the mess on the ground there. High-level Spanish military, reported El Pais, blame the U.S. for the recent incidents in Najaf, and claim that pro-consul Paul Bremer gave the order to detain Mustafa Al Yacoubi, the representative of the radical Imam Muktada al Sadr in the Shi'ite city Najaf, without informing the Spanish General, Fulgencio Coll. The U.S. then spread the rumor that he was arrested by the Spanish military.

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